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【讨论扰动】95S-20年01月20日编

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来自Android客户端1楼2020-01-20 08:38
    。。。。


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    来自Android客户端2楼2020-01-20 08:38


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      来自Android客户端4楼2020-01-20 08:39
        95S INVEST 200120 0000 20.0S 40.0E SHEM 15 1002


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        来自Android客户端5楼2020-01-20 08:46
          莫桑比克海峡系统 未来可能移入印度洋发展



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          来自Android客户端6楼2020-01-20 08:50
            95S将和未来的96S合并后再和94S合并


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            来自Android客户端7楼2020-01-20 08:54
              将会成台


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              来自Android客户端8楼2020-01-20 09:06




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                9楼2020-01-20 09:29
                  后期不行系列


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                  来自Android客户端10楼2020-01-20 09:39
                    一 团 婊


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                    11楼2020-01-20 09:47


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                      来自Android客户端12楼2020-01-20 10:01
                        伊代警告事先说明我囍


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                        来自Android客户端13楼2020-01-20 12:21


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                          来自手机贴吧14楼2020-01-20 12:30
                            虽然支持成台,但是未来可能会被94S吞噬


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                            来自手机贴吧15楼2020-01-20 12:34
                              95S INVEST 200120 0600 19.9S 40.3E SHEM 15 1010


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                              来自Android客户端16楼2020-01-20 15:40


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                                17楼2020-01-20 15:54


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                                  来自手机贴吧18楼2020-01-20 17:03


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                                    来自手机贴吧19楼2020-01-20 17:46
                                      GFS预测图


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                                      来自Android客户端20楼2020-01-20 17:51
                                        On the Mozambique Channel :

                                        On the Channel, the south winds are strong and induce a strong low-level convergence with the monsoon flow. Aloft, no vertical windshear and a good equatorward divergence over the next few days. Thus, as the convergence axis comes back Northward over the next 2 days, a better organised clockwise circulation should emerge. However, this minimum should relatively quickly land on Madagascar (Wednesday South of The St Andre cape according to the current most probable scenario). This should limit its intensification but the available ensemble prediction suggest a moderate risk for the system to reach moderate tropical storm intensity before its landfall.
                                        The risk of formation of a moderate tropical off the shore of Cape St Andre is moderate Tuesday and Wednesday.



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                                        21楼2020-01-20 21:01
                                          95S INVEST 200120 1200 19.8S 41.2E SHEM 20 1003


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                                          22楼2020-01-20 21:02
                                            95S INVEST 200120 1800 19.7S 41.9E SHEM 20 1002


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                                            来自Android客户端23楼2020-01-21 04:45


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                                              来自Android客户端24楼2020-01-21 04:47







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                                                来自Android客户端25楼2020-01-21 08:57
                                                  95S INVEST 200121 0600 19.4S 43.1E SHEM 20 1007


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                                                  来自Android客户端26楼2020-01-21 15:14
                                                    95S INVEST 200121 0600 20.0S 42.3E SHEM 20 1007


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                                                    27楼2020-01-21 19:01
                                                      95S INVEST 200121 1200 20.3S 42.8E SHEM 20 1007


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                                                      贴吧拳王争霸赛中累计获取10场胜利,去领取
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                                                      29楼2020-01-21 20:31
                                                        95S INVEST 200121 1800 20.4S 42.9E SHEM 20 1002


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                                                        来自Android客户端30楼2020-01-22 02:47
                                                          (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
                                                          20.2S 42.6E, APPROXIMATELY 126 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND.
                                                          ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 211553Z 91GHZ
                                                          SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW MINIMAL CONVECTION LOCATED OVER THE LOW
                                                          LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). HOWEVER, A 210523Z ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS AN
                                                          ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 25-30KT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST
                                                          QUADRANT. INVEST 94S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
                                                          DEVELOPMENT WITH EQUATORWARD AND EASTWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (<15 KNOTS)
                                                          VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
                                                          GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD
                                                          WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
                                                          ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
                                                          TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
                                                          SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.


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                                                          来自iPhone客户端32楼2020-01-22 04:04
                                                            95S INVEST 200122 0000 20.5S 43.2E SHEM 20 1002


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                                                            来自Android客户端33楼2020-01-22 09:09