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Invest 92B has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.
Infrared and microwave images show formative convective banding features wrapping into an increasingly well defined low-level circulation center (LLCC).
There is deep and organized convection developing close to the nascent core of the system. Analysis shows the Invest is in a favorable environment for development defined by fair poleward and westward outflow, low (5-10 knots) wind shear, and very warm (30-31°C) sea surface temperatures.
Global model guidance is in good agreement that 92B will move northwestward, consolidate, and intensify over the next 1 to 2 days. Surface winds are around 40-50 km/h (22-28 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is near 1001 mb.
Infrared and microwave images show formative convective banding features wrapping into an increasingly well defined low-level circulation center (LLCC).
There is deep and organized convection developing close to the nascent core of the system. Analysis shows the Invest is in a favorable environment for development defined by fair poleward and westward outflow, low (5-10 knots) wind shear, and very warm (30-31°C) sea surface temperatures.
Global model guidance is in good agreement that 92B will move northwestward, consolidate, and intensify over the next 1 to 2 days. Surface winds are around 40-50 km/h (22-28 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is near 1001 mb.
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